Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +13.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayden on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayden 48.7% vs Couturier 53.6% (-13.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couturier 59.5%
Defensive zone
Couturier 82.9%
Neutral zone
Couturier 71.7%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 74.7%
25.3%
74.7%
Hayden
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Hayden
Couturier
Last 7: Hayden 4-3 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
1
Hayden
Couturier
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayden
2
1
Hayden
Couturier
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayden
2
1
Hayden
Couturier
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayden
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
35.7% (14)
53.9% (792)
-18.2%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
51.3% (234)
+48.7%
On penalty kill, Hayden has a +48.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Hayden is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (13).
Hayden shoots right. Couturier is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (395).
By Period
Hayden
Couturier
P1
25.0%
56.0%
P2
40.0%
52.6%
P3
50.0%
54.3%
Final 5 min
50.0%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayden
46.0%▲
39.4%
40.0%
Couturier
64.0%▲
56.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2025 | 3 | 16:48 | Neutral | John Hayden |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 3 | 13:20 | Defensive | John Hayden |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 3 | 13:09 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 3 | 04:04 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 2 | 03:02 | Neutral | John Hayden |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 1 | 19:48 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 1 | 11:26 | Defensive | John Hayden |