Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Schmaltz wins 41.8% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schmaltz 46.6% vs Couturier 53.6% (-7.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 93.1%
Defensive zone
Couturier 51.1%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 74.0%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 60.0%
60.0%
40.0%
Schmaltz
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Schmaltz
Couturier
Last 8: Schmaltz 2-6 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Schmaltz
Couturier
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
1
5
Schmaltz
Couturier
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schmaltz
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (697)
53.9% (792)
-8.0%
Power Play
47.9% (117)
62.9% (70)
-15.0%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (25)
51.3% (234)
-3.3%
On power play, Couturier has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Schmaltz is 41.8% vs left-shot opponents (593).
Schmaltz shoots right. Couturier is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (395).
Home / Away
Schmaltz
Couturier
Home
44.9% (434)
51.4% (541)
Away
47.7% (405)
56.4% (555)
By Period
Schmaltz
Couturier
P1
41.5%
56.0%
P2
46.7%
52.6%
P3
51.1%
54.3%
OT
0.0%
44.1%
Final 5 min
40.5%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schmaltz
42.0%▼
46.0%
46.2%
Couturier
64.0%▲
56.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2026 | 3 | 06:24 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 2 | 17:58 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 1 | 11:53 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 3 | 13:03 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 2 | 14:54 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 2 | 13:09 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 2 | 02:25 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 1 | 03:09 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |