Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +18.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Rakell wins 39.2% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rakell 41.0% vs Couturier 53.6% (-18.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rakell 86.2%
Defensive zone
Couturier 60.9%
Neutral zone
Rakell 72.8%
Result
Rickard Rakell favored at 55.4%
55.4%
44.6%
Rakell
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Rakell
Couturier
Last 7: Rakell 2-5 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rakell
1
0
Rakell
Couturier
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
4
Rakell
Couturier
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Rakell
Couturier
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rakell
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
35.7% (129)
53.9% (792)
-18.2%
Power Play
43.8% (32)
62.9% (70)
-19.1%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (7)
51.3% (234)
-51.3%
On penalty kill, Couturier has a +51.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Rakell is 39.2% vs left-shot opponents (97).
Rakell shoots right. Couturier is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (395).
Home / Away
Rakell
Couturier
Home
41.5% (82)
51.4% (541)
Away
30.2% (86)
56.4% (555)
By Period
Rakell
Couturier
P1
35.1%
56.0%
P2
37.5%
52.6%
P3
32.6%
54.3%
OT
50.0%
44.1%
Final 5 min
43.8%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rakell
42.0%▲
35.5%
35.7%
Couturier
64.0%▲
56.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | OT | 02:51 | Offensive | Rickard Rakell |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 2 | 08:38 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 2 | 05:51 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 2 | 03:25 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 1 | 18:40 | Neutral | Rickard Rakell |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 1 | 09:17 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 1 | 09:12 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |