Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Poehling wins 46.0% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Poehling 47.9% vs Couturier 53.6% (-6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Poehling 79.2%
Defensive zone
Poehling 80.7%
Neutral zone
Poehling 82.3%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 80.5%
80.5%
19.5%
Poehling
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
6
(6 meetings)
0
6
Poehling
Couturier
Last 6: Poehling 0-6 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
3
Poehling
Couturier
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
1
Poehling
Couturier
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
2
Poehling
Couturier
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Poehling
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (666)
53.9% (792)
-3.4%
Power Play
58.3% (12)
62.9% (70)
-4.6%
Penalty Kill
38.6% (215)
51.3% (234)
-12.7%
On penalty kill, Couturier has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Poehling is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (598).
Poehling shoots left. Couturier is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (696).
Home / Away
Poehling
Couturier
Home
47.3% (404)
51.4% (541)
Away
48.1% (489)
56.4% (555)
By Period
Poehling
Couturier
P1
53.5%
56.0%
P2
40.1%
52.6%
P3
50.0%
54.3%
OT
35.7%
44.1%
Final 5 min
51.9%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Poehling
58.0%▲
52.5%
47.7%
Couturier
64.0%▲
56.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2026 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 2 | 19:22 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 2 | 05:54 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 1 | 12:49 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 1 | 09:30 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 1 | 07:04 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |