Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on offensive-zone draws (69% H2H, 16 meetings). Reinhart wins 41.4% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Reinhart 43.3% vs Couturier 52.6% (-9.5%)
H2H factor
Couturier leads 31-14 in 45 meetings
Offensive zone
Reinhart 86.9%
Defensive zone
Reinhart 95.8%
Neutral zone
Reinhart 92.3%
Result
Sam Reinhart favored at 91.9%
91.9%
8.1%
Reinhart
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
31
(45 meetings)
14
31
Reinhart
Couturier
Last 10: Reinhart 3-7 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
5
11
Reinhart
Couturier
16 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
7
13
Reinhart
Couturier
20 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couturier
2
7
Reinhart
Couturier
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Reinhart
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
42.5% (2,168)
52.4% (10,929)
-9.9%
Power Play
46.6% (519)
59.9% (1,276)
-13.3%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (338)
48.7% (1,777)
-7.3%
On power play, Couturier has a +13.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Reinhart is 41.4% vs left-shot opponents (2,276).
Reinhart shoots right. Couturier is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (5,168).
Home / Away
Reinhart
Couturier
Home
44.9% (1,519)
53.4% (7,054)
Away
41.3% (1,506)
51.8% (6,935)
By Period
Reinhart
Couturier
P1
44.5%
52.5%
P2
40.4%
52.5%
P3
44.6%
53.0%
OT
43.5%
49.6%
Final 5 min
42.3%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Reinhart
46.0%▲
41.0%
43.1%
Couturier
46.0%▼
47.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 00:28 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 2 | 00:47 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 02:19 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 07:55 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 07:26 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 19:42 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 3 | 13:59 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 3 | 04:00 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 2 | 15:32 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 2 | 12:01 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 2 | 07:49 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 2 | 05:30 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 1 | 00:08 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Nov 9, 2024 | OT | 03:16 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 1 | 18:50 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 1 | 09:48 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 1 | 06:38 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 1 | 00:47 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 3 | 06:49 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 3 | 06:38 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |