Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couturier 53.6% vs Crosby 55.4% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Couturier leads 13-5 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 88.7%
Defensive zone
Couturier 76.6%
Neutral zone
Crosby 59.5%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 52.4%
52.4%
47.6%
Couturier
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
5
(18 meetings)
13
5
Couturier
Crosby
Last 10: Couturier 6-4 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
3
2
Couturier
Crosby
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
8
2
Couturier
Crosby
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couturier
2
1
Couturier
Crosby
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couturier
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (792)
53.6% (1,008)
+0.3%
Power Play
62.9% (70)
65.0% (246)
-2.1%
Penalty Kill
51.3% (234)
60.0% (15)
-8.7%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Couturier is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (696).
Couturier shoots left. Crosby is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (896).
Home / Away
Couturier
Crosby
Home
51.4% (541)
56.9% (675)
Away
56.4% (555)
54.7% (594)
By Period
Couturier
Crosby
P1
56.0%
55.6%
P2
52.6%
53.3%
P3
54.3%
58.7%
OT
44.1%
54.2%
Final 5 min
55.3%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couturier
64.0%▲
56.0%
53.9%
Crosby
62.0%▲
53.5%
55.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 11:03 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 07:39 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 01:32 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 1 | 12:11 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 1 | 09:48 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 1 | 03:53 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 1 | 00:23 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 3 | 12:03 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 2 | 07:50 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 1 | 18:57 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 28, 2025 | OT | 02:09 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 28, 2025 | OT | 00:49 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 01:45 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 11:16 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 17:36 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 17:25 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 11:39 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |