Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuraly on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Point wins 45.7% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 46.2% vs Kuraly 48.4% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Point 87.8%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 75.3%
Neutral zone
Point 62.5%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 62.7%
37.3%
62.7%
Point
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Point
Kuraly
Last 5: Point 1-4 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
1
Point
Kuraly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
1
3
Point
Kuraly
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (582)
49.4% (445)
-3.5%
Power Play
45.6% (57)
100.0% (3)
-54.4%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
41.9% (117)
-21.9%
On power play, Kuraly has a +54.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Point is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (460).
Point shoots right. Kuraly is 42.2% vs right-shot opponents (211).
Home / Away
Point
Kuraly
Home
45.8% (286)
49.2% (248)
Away
45.5% (358)
47.3% (317)
By Period
Point
Kuraly
P1
45.9%
48.3%
P2
48.8%
44.7%
P3
40.6%
51.7%
Final 5 min
40.7%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
56.0%▲
48.5%
45.7%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
53.5%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2024 | 2 | 01:48 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 1 | 06:01 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 1 | 01:03 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 3 | 05:13 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 2 | 07:58 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |