Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Eller wins 56.4% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 55.0% vs Kuraly 51.0% (+4.8%)
H2H factor
Eller leads 9-2 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Eller 67.6%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 56.2%
Neutral zone
Eller 52.0%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 51.9%
51.9%
48.1%
Eller
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
2
(11 meetings)
9
2
Eller
Kuraly
Last 10: Eller 8-2 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
2
0
Eller
Kuraly
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
4
0
Eller
Kuraly
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
3
2
Eller
Kuraly
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
56.0% (459)
52.6% (464)
+3.4%
Power Play
77.8% (9)
100.0% (1)
-22.2%
Penalty Kill
51.9% (54)
46.5% (155)
+5.4%
On power play, Kuraly has a +22.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Eller is 56.4% vs left-shot opponents (321).
Eller shoots left. Kuraly is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (385).
Home / Away
Eller
Kuraly
Home
52.6% (215)
55.9% (322)
Away
58.3% (307)
46.0% (298)
By Period
Eller
Kuraly
P1
54.1%
55.9%
P2
57.6%
46.7%
P3
56.2%
50.7%
Final 5 min
60.0%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
44.0%▼
51.5%
55.9%
Kuraly
66.0%▲
61.0%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2025 | 3 | 19:42 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 3 | 10:16 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 3 | 03:54 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 3 | 03:49 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 05:59 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 1 | 07:37 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 27, 2025 | 3 | 18:06 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 27, 2025 | 3 | 17:58 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 27, 2025 | 2 | 14:11 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 27, 2025 | 2 | 06:07 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 27, 2025 | 1 | 08:46 | Offensive | Lars Eller |