Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuraly on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 14 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 49.2% vs Kuraly 50.4% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Kuraly leads 18-8 in 26 meetings
Offensive zone
Zacha 88.6%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 63.7%
Neutral zone
Zacha 63.0%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 53.6%
53.6%
46.4%
Zacha
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
18
(26 meetings)
8
18
Zacha
Kuraly
Last 10: Zacha 2-8 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
4
1
Zacha
Kuraly
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
14
Zacha
Kuraly
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
4
3
Zacha
Kuraly
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (5,156)
51.6% (5,161)
-2.7%
Power Play
55.7% (813)
56.4% (101)
-0.7%
Penalty Kill
42.2% (557)
44.4% (1,091)
-2.2%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Zacha is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,965).
Zacha shoots left. Kuraly is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (4,119).
Home / Away
Zacha
Kuraly
Home
49.7% (3,381)
52.1% (3,205)
Away
48.6% (3,145)
48.8% (3,149)
By Period
Zacha
Kuraly
P1
49.9%
51.2%
P2
49.2%
50.0%
P3
48.2%
50.2%
OT
53.5%
52.3%
Final 5 min
47.3%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
56.0%▲
50.0%
49.2%
Kuraly
66.0%▲
61.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2024 | 2 | 06:29 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 3, 2023 | 3 | 07:09 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 3, 2023 | 3 | 06:08 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 3, 2023 | 1 | 12:28 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 3, 2023 | 1 | 05:52 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 3, 2023 | 1 | 02:15 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 27, 2023 | 1 | 17:11 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 3 | 09:20 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 2 | 00:53 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 1 | 01:27 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 28, 2022 | 2 | 00:14 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 31, 2021 | 2 | 18:17 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 18, 2021 | 2 | 15:08 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 18, 2021 | 2 | 09:18 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 2 | 09:54 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 31, 2019 | 1 | 08:01 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 31, 2019 | 1 | 07:44 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 21, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 21, 2019 | 2 | 11:01 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 21, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |