Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Comeau wins 42.7% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Comeau 44.6% vs Monahan 51.2% (-6.9%)
H2H factor
Monahan leads 14-10 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Comeau 62.2%
Defensive zone
Comeau 80.2%
Neutral zone
Comeau 70.8%
Result
Blake Comeau favored at 68.7%
68.7%
31.3%
Comeau
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
14
(24 meetings)
10
14
Comeau
Monahan
Last 10: Comeau 4-6 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
5
5
Comeau
Monahan
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
3
Comeau
Monahan
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
4
6
Comeau
Monahan
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Comeau
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
45.2% (1,082)
51.1% (11,407)
-5.9%
Power Play
57.4% (129)
53.6% (2,582)
+3.8%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (449)
45.9% (772)
-7.4%
On penalty kill, Monahan has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Comeau is 42.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,181).
Comeau shoots right. Monahan is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (5,426).
Home / Away
Comeau
Monahan
Home
47.8% (894)
52.3% (7,387)
Away
40.2% (768)
50.2% (7,374)
By Period
Comeau
Monahan
P1
45.0%
51.0%
P2
44.0%
51.7%
P3
44.3%
51.0%
OT
28.6%
53.5%
Final 5 min
45.6%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Comeau
56.0%▲
47.0%
44.3%
Monahan
40.0%▼
51.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2019 | 3 | 10:21 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 22, 2019 | 2 | 18:15 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 22, 2019 | 2 | 07:35 | Offensive | Blake Comeau |
| Dec 22, 2019 | 1 | 10:57 | Neutral | Blake Comeau |
| Nov 13, 2019 | 3 | 11:09 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 13, 2019 | 1 | 19:57 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 28, 2018 | 3 | 18:04 | Defensive | Blake Comeau |
| Feb 24, 2018 | 2 | 08:53 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 25, 2017 | 1 | 09:54 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 4, 2017 | 2 | 14:30 | Neutral | Blake Comeau |
| Jan 4, 2017 | 2 | 08:58 | Offensive | Blake Comeau |
| Jan 4, 2017 | 2 | 00:58 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 4, 2017 | 1 | 04:28 | Offensive | Blake Comeau |
| Dec 27, 2016 | 3 | 09:52 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 27, 2016 | 3 | 05:16 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 18, 2016 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 3 | 00:05 | Offensive | Blake Comeau |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 2 | 19:00 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 2 | 16:45 | Offensive | Blake Comeau |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 1 | 15:28 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |