Scouting Report
Joe Vitale holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Vitale on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 14 meetings). Vitale wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vitale 54.6% vs Monahan 51.2% (+3.6%)
H2H factor
Vitale leads 11-10 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Monahan 64.4%
Defensive zone
Vitale 86.7%
Neutral zone
Vitale 59.5%
Result
Joe Vitale favored at 71.9%
71.9%
28.1%
Vitale
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
10
(21 meetings)
11
10
Vitale
Monahan
Last 10: Vitale 6-4 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
5
Vitale
Monahan
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Vitale
10
4
Vitale
Monahan
14 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Vitale
Monahan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vitale
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (1,771)
51.1% (11,407)
+4.8%
Power Play
76.0% (25)
53.6% (2,582)
+22.4%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (297)
45.9% (772)
+1.2%
On power play, Vitale has a +22.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Vitale is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,430).
Vitale shoots right. Monahan is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (5,426).
Home / Away
Vitale
Monahan
Home
56.1% (1,050)
52.3% (7,387)
Away
53.5% (1,048)
50.2% (7,374)
By Period
Vitale
Monahan
P1
52.9%
51.0%
P2
53.8%
51.7%
P3
57.5%
51.0%
OT
72.7%
53.5%
Final 5 min
55.0%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vitale
44.0%▼
48.0%
54.8%
Monahan
40.0%▼
51.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2015 | 2 | 16:07 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Apr 7, 2015 | 2 | 09:27 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Apr 7, 2015 | 1 | 18:33 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Apr 7, 2015 | 1 | 12:57 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Apr 7, 2015 | 1 | 12:50 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Apr 7, 2015 | 1 | 07:28 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Apr 7, 2015 | 1 | 00:32 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 15, 2015 | 3 | 02:16 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 15, 2015 | 2 | 16:06 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Jan 15, 2015 | 2 | 12:44 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Jan 15, 2015 | 2 | 10:06 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Jan 15, 2015 | 2 | 03:25 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Jan 15, 2015 | 1 | 02:50 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Dec 2, 2014 | 1 | 12:57 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 2, 2014 | 1 | 07:36 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 3 | 06:49 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 13, 2014 | 3 | 09:00 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 13, 2014 | 3 | 02:44 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 21, 2013 | 2 | 07:05 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Dec 21, 2013 | 2 | 06:58 | Neutral | Joe Vitale |