Scouting Report
Michael McLeod holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on defensive-zone draws (94% H2H, 17 meetings). McLeod wins 60.5% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McLeod 58.0% vs Monahan 51.2% (+7.1%)
H2H factor
McLeod leads 24-2 in 26 meetings
Offensive zone
McLeod 70.3%
Defensive zone
McLeod 98.3%
Neutral zone
McLeod 93.6%
Result
Michael McLeod favored at 92.2%
92.2%
7.8%
McLeod
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
24
-
2
(26 meetings)
24
2
McLeod
Monahan
Last 10: McLeod 10-0 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
4
1
McLeod
Monahan
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
16
1
McLeod
Monahan
17 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
4
0
McLeod
Monahan
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McLeod
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
59.2% (2,894)
51.1% (11,407)
+8.1%
Power Play
57.4% (101)
53.6% (2,582)
+3.8%
Penalty Kill
53.5% (525)
45.9% (772)
+7.6%
On even strength, McLeod has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. McLeod is 60.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,457).
McLeod shoots right. Monahan is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (5,426).
Home / Away
McLeod
Monahan
Home
58.2% (1,647)
52.3% (7,387)
Away
58.4% (1,873)
50.2% (7,374)
By Period
McLeod
Monahan
P1
58.7%
51.0%
P2
59.9%
51.7%
P3
56.3%
51.0%
OT
63.6%
53.5%
Final 5 min
58.3%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McLeod
56.0%▼
63.5%
58.3%
Monahan
40.0%▼
51.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2024 | 3 | 18:36 | Offensive | Michael McLeod |
| Jan 17, 2024 | 3 | 14:27 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Jan 17, 2024 | 3 | 14:22 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Jan 17, 2024 | 3 | 05:18 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Jan 17, 2024 | 2 | 17:25 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Jan 17, 2024 | 1 | 19:39 | Offensive | Michael McLeod |
| Jan 17, 2024 | 1 | 16:15 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 17:54 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 2 | 10:33 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 2 | 05:27 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 2 | 01:01 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 1 | 14:40 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 1 | 04:32 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 3 | 16:06 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 3 | 13:46 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 2 | 13:52 | Offensive | Michael McLeod |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 1 | 13:14 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 1 | 03:10 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Mar 16, 2022 | 3 | 17:30 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Mar 16, 2022 | 3 | 08:58 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |