Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Granlund 48.9% vs Monahan 52.5% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Granlund 56.7%
Defensive zone
Granlund 57.7%
Neutral zone
Granlund 56.7%
Result
Mikael Granlund favored at 57.3%
57.3%
42.7%
Granlund
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Granlund
Monahan
Last 5: Granlund 1-4 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
2
Granlund
Monahan
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
2
Granlund
Monahan
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Granlund
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (476)
53.0% (874)
-4.1%
Power Play
57.9% (107)
54.7% (161)
+3.2%
Penalty Kill
31.1% (61)
47.5% (101)
-16.4%
On penalty kill, Monahan has a +16.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Granlund is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (426).
Granlund shoots left. Monahan is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (710).
Home / Away
Granlund
Monahan
Home
53.3% (255)
53.8% (558)
Away
45.8% (389)
51.7% (578)
By Period
Granlund
Monahan
P1
52.0%
49.5%
P2
48.6%
54.8%
P3
45.9%
52.8%
OT
50.0%
61.9%
Final 5 min
53.4%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Granlund
58.0%▲
52.0%
48.8%
Monahan
40.0%▼
51.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 14:44 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 14:39 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 11:48 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 2 | 08:15 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 2 | 08:10 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |