Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Byfield on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Byfield wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Byfield 45.8% vs Monahan 52.5% (-7.3%)
H2H factor
Byfield leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Monahan 88.9%
Defensive zone
Monahan 57.1%
Neutral zone
Monahan 78.7%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 78.5%
21.5%
78.5%
Byfield
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
2
(10 meetings)
8
2
Byfield
Monahan
Last 10: Byfield 8-2 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Byfield
3
1
Byfield
Monahan
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Byfield
2
0
Byfield
Monahan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Byfield
3
1
Byfield
Monahan
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Byfield
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (801)
53.0% (874)
-6.2%
Power Play
50.8% (59)
54.7% (161)
-3.9%
Penalty Kill
35.9% (153)
47.5% (101)
-11.6%
On penalty kill, Monahan has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Byfield is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (666).
Byfield shoots left. Monahan is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (710).
Home / Away
Byfield
Monahan
Home
46.3% (462)
53.8% (558)
Away
44.6% (551)
51.7% (578)
By Period
Byfield
Monahan
P1
44.6%
49.5%
P2
43.4%
54.8%
P3
48.7%
52.8%
OT
37.9%
61.9%
Final 5 min
42.6%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Byfield
54.0%▼
57.0%
45.4%
Monahan
40.0%▼
51.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2026 | 3 | 08:49 | Offensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Mar 9, 2026 | 3 | 06:00 | Defensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Mar 9, 2026 | 2 | 17:45 | Offensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Mar 9, 2026 | 2 | 17:36 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 9, 2026 | 2 | 14:39 | Neutral | Quinton Byfield |
| Mar 9, 2026 | 2 | 14:33 | Neutral | Quinton Byfield |
| Mar 9, 2026 | 2 | 12:02 | Offensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Mar 9, 2026 | 1 | 16:47 | Defensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Mar 9, 2026 | 1 | 06:46 | Neutral | Quinton Byfield |
| Dec 22, 2025 | 2 | 09:07 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |