Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings). Rakell wins 44.9% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rakell 44.8% vs Monahan 51.2% (-6.7%)
H2H factor
Rakell leads 12-10 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Monahan 65.1%
Defensive zone
Monahan 70.2%
Neutral zone
Monahan 61.5%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 66.8%
33.2%
66.8%
Rakell
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
10
(22 meetings)
12
10
Rakell
Monahan
Last 10: Rakell 3-7 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
3
5
Rakell
Monahan
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rakell
6
4
Rakell
Monahan
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rakell
3
1
Rakell
Monahan
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rakell
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
44.2% (1,886)
51.1% (11,407)
-6.9%
Power Play
50.2% (203)
53.6% (2,582)
-3.4%
Penalty Kill
21.7% (23)
45.9% (772)
-24.2%
On penalty kill, Monahan has a +24.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Rakell is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,344).
Rakell shoots right. Monahan is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (5,426).
Home / Away
Rakell
Monahan
Home
46.6% (1,055)
52.3% (7,387)
Away
42.4% (1,058)
50.2% (7,374)
By Period
Rakell
Monahan
P1
45.6%
51.0%
P2
41.9%
51.7%
P3
46.1%
51.0%
OT
50.0%
53.5%
Final 5 min
44.7%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rakell
38.0%▲
35.0%
44.5%
Monahan
40.0%▼
51.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2022 | 3 | 18:53 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 3, 2021 | 2 | 03:16 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 3, 2021 | 1 | 17:37 | Offensive | Rickard Rakell |
| Dec 3, 2021 | 1 | 17:32 | Offensive | Rickard Rakell |
| Dec 29, 2017 | 3 | 04:16 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 9, 2017 | 1 | 18:50 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 21, 2016 | 3 | 01:26 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 21, 2016 | 2 | 12:57 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 15, 2016 | 2 | 04:05 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 11, 2015 | 3 | 02:20 | Defensive | Rickard Rakell |
| Mar 11, 2015 | 2 | 06:08 | Offensive | Rickard Rakell |
| Mar 11, 2015 | 2 | 02:02 | Neutral | Rickard Rakell |
| Feb 20, 2015 | 2 | 09:36 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 21, 2015 | 3 | 02:53 | Defensive | Rickard Rakell |
| Jan 21, 2015 | 3 | 02:45 | Defensive | Rickard Rakell |
| Jan 21, 2015 | 1 | 16:18 | Defensive | Rickard Rakell |
| Jan 21, 2015 | 1 | 11:03 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 21, 2015 | 1 | 05:05 | Neutral | Rickard Rakell |
| Nov 18, 2014 | 3 | 03:25 | Neutral | Rickard Rakell |
| Nov 18, 2014 | 2 | 17:21 | Defensive | Rickard Rakell |