Scouting Report
Andrew Copp holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 53.5% vs Aho 50.5% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Aho leads 15-6 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Aho 73.4%
Defensive zone
Aho 57.5%
Neutral zone
Aho 64.0%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 65.7%
34.3%
65.7%
Copp
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
15
(21 meetings)
6
15
Copp
Aho
Last 10: Copp 3-7 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
2
6
Copp
Aho
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Aho
0
6
Copp
Aho
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Copp
4
3
Copp
Aho
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (728)
50.5% (878)
+3.9%
Power Play
56.0% (75)
53.5% (144)
+2.5%
Penalty Kill
45.8% (59)
44.3% (61)
+1.5%
On even strength, Copp has a +3.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Copp is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (526).
Copp shoots left. Aho is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (703).
Home / Away
Copp
Aho
Home
54.4% (441)
53.8% (571)
Away
53.4% (421)
46.9% (512)
By Period
Copp
Aho
P1
52.0%
49.0%
P2
55.8%
51.7%
P3
54.2%
50.3%
OT
20.0%
58.8%
Final 5 min
60.7%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
54.0%▲
51.5%
53.9%
Aho
60.0%▲
50.5%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | 3 | 03:59 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 3 | 03:52 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 14:03 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 02:52 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 00:06 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 1 | 03:16 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 3 | 17:30 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 3 | 16:00 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 3 | 01:38 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 2 | 04:42 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 1 | 12:08 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 06:55 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 01:07 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 2 | 17:07 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 2 | 13:34 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 1 | 19:24 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 1 | 16:53 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 1 | 04:18 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |