Scouting Report
Brayden Schenn holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 53.1% vs Aho 50.5% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 57.9%
Defensive zone
Aho 50.1%
Neutral zone
Aho 51.8%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 57.9%
42.1%
57.9%
Schenn
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Schenn
Aho
Last 5: Schenn 1-4 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
1
4
Schenn
Aho
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (643)
50.5% (878)
+0.8%
Power Play
63.6% (107)
53.5% (144)
+10.1%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (24)
44.3% (61)
+22.4%
On penalty kill, Schenn has a +22.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Schenn is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (488).
Schenn shoots left. Aho is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (703).
Home / Away
Schenn
Aho
Home
53.6% (399)
53.8% (571)
Away
53.3% (375)
46.9% (512)
By Period
Schenn
Aho
P1
48.9%
49.0%
P2
52.1%
51.7%
P3
58.2%
50.3%
OT
50.0%
58.8%
Final 5 min
53.7%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.0%
53.5%
Aho
60.0%▲
50.5%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2026 | 3 | 05:12 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 2 | 08:20 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 2 | 05:29 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 1 | 01:02 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 1 | 00:40 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |