Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +11.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Miller on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Miller wins 62.3% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 60.3% vs Aho 50.5% (+11.1%)
H2H factor
Miller leads 10-1 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Miller 79.8%
Defensive zone
Miller 94.1%
Neutral zone
Miller 88.2%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 87.0%
87.0%
13.0%
Miller
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
1
(11 meetings)
10
1
Miller
Aho
Last 10: Miller 9-1 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
4
1
Miller
Aho
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Miller
5
0
Miller
Aho
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Miller
1
0
Miller
Aho
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
62.0% (582)
50.5% (878)
+11.5%
Power Play
65.9% (126)
53.5% (144)
+12.4%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (71)
44.3% (61)
+6.4%
On power play, Miller has a +12.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Miller is 62.3% vs left-shot opponents (485).
Miller shoots left. Aho is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (703).
Home / Away
Miller
Aho
Home
63.0% (416)
53.8% (571)
Away
60.1% (363)
46.9% (512)
By Period
Miller
Aho
P1
60.7%
49.0%
P2
63.9%
51.7%
P3
60.2%
50.3%
OT
60.0%
58.8%
Final 5 min
64.4%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
70.0%▲
64.0%
61.6%
Aho
60.0%▲
50.5%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2026 | 3 | 10:50 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 2 | 13:29 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 2 | 00:23 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 1 | 16:36 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 03:33 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 2 | 17:31 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 2 | 11:28 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 2 | 06:28 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 2 | 00:52 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 1 | 00:59 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |