Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Dellandrea on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Aho 52.4% vs Dellandrea 47.5% (+7.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 69.4%
Defensive zone
Aho 51.4%
Neutral zone
Aho 67.6%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 56.3%
56.3%
43.7%
Aho
Dellandrea
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Aho
Dellandrea
Last 7: Aho 4-3 Dellandrea
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
1
0
Aho
Dellandrea
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dellandrea
2
3
Aho
Dellandrea
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Aho
1
0
Aho
Dellandrea
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Aho
Dellandrea
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (622)
42.9% (77)
+9.5%
Power Play
60.7% (28)
41.7% (12)
+19.0%
Penalty Kill
52.4% (42)
63.6% (11)
-11.2%
On power play, Aho has a +19.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dellandrea shoots right. Aho is 49.1% vs right-shot opponents (283).
Aho shoots left. Dellandrea is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (78).
Home / Away
Aho
Dellandrea
Home
54.9% (359)
50.7% (67)
Away
50.5% (333)
33.3% (33)
By Period
Aho
Dellandrea
P1
51.6%
36.1%
P2
53.3%
43.8%
P3
52.7%
56.3%
Final 5 min
47.3%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Aho
54.0%▼
56.5%
52.7%
Dellandrea
58.0%▲
53.5%
45.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2021 | 2 | 03:47 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 11, 2021 | 2 | 03:33 | Defensive | Ty Dellandrea |
| Jan 31, 2021 | 2 | 16:32 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 2 | 18:25 | Defensive | Ty Dellandrea |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 2 | 13:55 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 2 | 11:16 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 2 | 01:02 | Defensive | Ty Dellandrea |