Scouting Report
Tyler Johnson holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Aho 52.4% vs Johnson 53.7% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johnson 50.6%
Defensive zone
Aho 51.3%
Neutral zone
Johnson 50.3%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 51.0%
51.0%
49.0%
Aho
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Aho
Johnson
Last 5: Aho 3-2 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Aho
Johnson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Aho
1
0
Aho
Johnson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Aho
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (622)
55.3% (284)
-2.9%
Power Play
60.7% (28)
50.0% (26)
+10.7%
On power play, Aho has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Aho is 49.1% vs right-shot opponents (283).
Aho shoots left. Johnson is 55.3% vs left-shot opponents (206).
Home / Away
Aho
Johnson
Home
54.9% (359)
57.4% (162)
Away
50.5% (333)
52.0% (148)
By Period
Aho
Johnson
P1
51.6%
51.5%
P2
53.3%
61.8%
P3
52.7%
47.4%
OT
66.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.3%
56.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Aho
54.0%▼
56.5%
52.7%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 20, 2021 | 1 | 19:22 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 24, 2021 | 3 | 15:48 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 24, 2021 | 3 | 02:16 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 24, 2021 | 1 | 08:51 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 20, 2021 | 3 | 00:52 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |