Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (40.9% vs 41.5%). Kelly wins 41.5% vs left-shot opponents — Kalinin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 41.8% vs Kalinin 43.0% (-0.6%)
Offensive zone
Kalinin 60.6%
Defensive zone
Kelly 64.3%
Neutral zone
Kelly 51.7%
Result
Parker Kelly favored at 51.8%
51.8%
48.2%
Kelly
Kalinin
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Kalinin
Edge
Even Strength
42.0% (757)
41.9% (453)
+0.1%
Power Play
0.0% (3)
33.3% (18)
-33.3%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (174)
40.0% (25)
-3.2%
On power play, Kalinin has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kalinin shoots left. Kelly is 41.5% vs left-shot opponents (629).
Kelly shoots left. Kalinin is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (341).
Home / Away
Kelly
Kalinin
Home
42.5% (475)
42.8% (285)
Away
39.2% (459)
39.8% (211)
By Period
Kelly
Kalinin
P1
42.4%
43.8%
P2
44.7%
40.6%
P3
35.6%
40.1%
Final 5 min
35.8%
37.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
46.0%▲
38.0%
40.9%
Kalinin
44.0%▲
40.5%
41.5%