Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.5% vs 51.3%). Look for Pinto on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Aho wins 55.5% vs right-shot opponents — Pinto shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Aho 50.5% vs Pinto 51.1% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 77.5%
Defensive zone
Pinto 77.0%
Neutral zone
Aho 53.1%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 56.2%
56.2%
43.8%
Aho
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Aho
Pinto
Last 6: Aho 1-5 Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pinto
0
2
Aho
Pinto
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pinto
0
1
Aho
Pinto
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pinto
1
2
Aho
Pinto
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Aho
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (878)
50.5% (556)
+0.0%
Power Play
53.5% (144)
68.0% (25)
-14.5%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (61)
51.1% (94)
-6.8%
On power play, Pinto has a +14.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. Aho is 55.5% vs right-shot opponents (380).
Aho shoots left. Pinto is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (491).
Home / Away
Aho
Pinto
Home
53.8% (571)
50.0% (310)
Away
46.9% (512)
52.3% (365)
By Period
Aho
Pinto
P1
49.0%
51.8%
P2
51.7%
49.8%
P3
50.3%
53.1%
OT
58.8%
44.4%
Final 5 min
49.4%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Aho
60.0%▲
50.5%
50.5%
Pinto
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 13:02 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 2 | 12:11 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 2 | 08:49 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 1 | 13:16 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 1 | 09:38 | Offensive | Shane Pinto |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 1 | 00:55 | Offensive | Shane Pinto |