Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +16.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Eller wins 55.2% vs right-shot opponents — Wright shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 55.0% vs Wright 41.4% (+16.1%)
H2H factor
Eller leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Eller 53.6%
Defensive zone
Eller 93.7%
Neutral zone
Eller 84.7%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 79.9%
79.9%
20.1%
Eller
Wright
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
4
(12 meetings)
8
4
Eller
Wright
Last 10: Eller 7-3 Wright
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
3
0
Eller
Wright
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
4
0
Eller
Wright
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wright
1
4
Eller
Wright
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Wright
Edge
Even Strength
56.0% (459)
39.7% (461)
+16.3%
Power Play
77.8% (9)
41.0% (61)
+36.8%
Penalty Kill
51.9% (54)
0.0% (1)
+51.9%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +51.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wright shoots right. Eller is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (201).
Eller shoots left. Wright is 38.8% vs left-shot opponents (402).
Home / Away
Eller
Wright
Home
52.6% (215)
39.5% (286)
Away
58.3% (307)
40.1% (237)
By Period
Eller
Wright
P1
54.1%
40.2%
P2
57.6%
36.7%
P3
56.2%
42.9%
Final 5 min
60.0%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
44.0%▼
51.5%
55.9%
Wright
42.0%▬
42.0%
39.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | 3 | 16:35 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 3 | 10:16 | Neutral | Shane Wright |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 3 | 07:32 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 2 | 05:48 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 3 | 12:37 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 3 | 00:31 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 2 | 04:40 | Neutral | Shane Wright |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 2 | 01:23 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 1 | 18:51 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 1 | 09:35 | Neutral | Shane Wright |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 1 | 07:42 | Neutral | Shane Wright |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 1 | 01:29 | Offensive | Lars Eller |