Scouting Report
Ryan Hartman holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Hartman on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hartman 45.4% vs Wright 43.3% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Hartman leads 13-8 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Hartman 52.7%
Defensive zone
Hartman 70.3%
Neutral zone
Hartman 67.2%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 63.3%
63.3%
36.7%
Hartman
Wright
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
8
(21 meetings)
13
8
Hartman
Wright
Last 10: Hartman 6-4 Wright
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wright
3
4
Hartman
Wright
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
4
2
Hartman
Wright
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hartman
6
2
Hartman
Wright
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hartman
Wright
Edge
Even Strength
45.2% (4,279)
42.7% (1,326)
+2.5%
Power Play
47.3% (446)
45.1% (133)
+2.2%
Penalty Kill
42.4% (262)
33.3% (6)
+9.1%
On penalty kill, Hartman has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wright shoots right. Hartman is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,391).
Hartman shoots right. Wright is 44.2% vs right-shot opponents (385).
Home / Away
Hartman
Wright
Home
46.7% (2,589)
44.2% (746)
Away
43.7% (2,398)
41.4% (719)
By Period
Hartman
Wright
P1
46.1%
44.5%
P2
42.9%
40.5%
P3
46.7%
44.0%
OT
53.8%
20.0%
Final 5 min
46.6%
41.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hartman
50.0%▬
50.0%
45.3%
Wright
42.0%▬
42.0%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2025 | 3 | 18:47 | Offensive | Shane Wright |
| Mar 19, 2025 | 3 | 18:23 | Neutral | Shane Wright |
| Mar 19, 2025 | 3 | 13:45 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 19, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 19, 2025 | 2 | 08:18 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 19, 2025 | 1 | 18:30 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 19, 2025 | 1 | 00:08 | Offensive | Shane Wright |
| Mar 19, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 3 | 19:36 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 2 | 14:32 | Offensive | Shane Wright |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 2 | 14:24 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 2 | 01:41 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 1 | 17:29 | Offensive | Shane Wright |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 1 | 14:17 | Defensive | Shane Wright |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 1 | 10:55 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 3 | 15:48 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 3 | 08:49 | Defensive | Shane Wright |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 3 | 08:42 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 2 | 01:12 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 2 | 01:06 | Neutral | Shane Wright |