Scouting Report
Matt Stajan holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Stajan on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stajan 51.6% vs Horcoff 49.4% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Stajan leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Horcoff 54.8%
Defensive zone
Stajan 63.9%
Neutral zone
Stajan 57.8%
Result
Matt Stajan favored at 56.6%
56.6%
43.4%
Stajan
Horcoff
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
3
(11 meetings)
8
3
Stajan
Horcoff
Last 10: Stajan 8-2 Horcoff
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
2
1
Stajan
Horcoff
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
4
0
Stajan
Horcoff
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Stajan
Horcoff
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stajan
Horcoff
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (509)
49.9% (976)
+3.1%
Power Play
41.4% (29)
49.4% (241)
-8.0%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (98)
46.8% (233)
+1.2%
On power play, Horcoff has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horcoff shoots left. Stajan is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (442).
Stajan shoots left. Horcoff is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,057).
Home / Away
Stajan
Horcoff
Home
53.8% (353)
52.1% (755)
Away
49.3% (286)
46.5% (720)
By Period
Stajan
Horcoff
P1
52.0%
49.3%
P2
52.0%
47.9%
P3
51.0%
50.7%
OT
75.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.9%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
51.8%
Horcoff
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2012 | 3 | 12:47 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Mar 16, 2012 | 3 | 09:25 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Mar 16, 2012 | 2 | 07:43 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Mar 16, 2012 | 1 | 10:12 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Feb 21, 2012 | 2 | 18:56 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Feb 21, 2012 | 2 | 10:35 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 2 | 07:34 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 2 | 01:23 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Dec 10, 2011 | 3 | 10:30 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Dec 10, 2011 | 2 | 17:28 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Oct 18, 2011 | 2 | 19:06 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |