Scouting Report
Shawn Horcoff holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Gionta on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horcoff 51.0% vs Gionta 43.1% (+9.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gionta 57.0%
Defensive zone
Gionta 56.0%
Neutral zone
Gionta 55.9%
Result
Stephen Gionta favored at 56.3%
43.7%
56.3%
Horcoff
Gionta
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Horcoff
Gionta
Last 9: Horcoff 4-5 Gionta
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gionta
1
2
Horcoff
Gionta
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horcoff
2
1
Horcoff
Gionta
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gionta
1
2
Horcoff
Gionta
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horcoff
Gionta
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (537)
41.8% (612)
+9.4%
Power Play
66.7% (15)
61.5% (13)
+5.2%
Penalty Kill
47.3% (74)
40.9% (66)
+6.4%
On even strength, Horcoff has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gionta shoots right. Horcoff is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (221).
Horcoff shoots left. Gionta is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (460).
Home / Away
Horcoff
Gionta
Home
52.5% (343)
41.3% (344)
Away
49.5% (283)
42.9% (347)
By Period
Horcoff
Gionta
P1
48.2%
39.8%
P2
52.2%
46.8%
P3
52.7%
39.5%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
54.4%
35.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horcoff
62.0%▲
55.5%
51.1%
Gionta
50.0%▲
48.0%
42.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2016 | 3 | 18:18 | Offensive | Stephen Gionta |
| Mar 14, 2016 | 3 | 02:20 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Mar 14, 2016 | 2 | 02:27 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Mar 14, 2016 | 1 | 16:15 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Mar 14, 2016 | 1 | 13:32 | Neutral | Stephen Gionta |
| Mar 14, 2016 | 1 | 07:01 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Dec 19, 2015 | 3 | 02:39 | Defensive | Stephen Gionta |
| Dec 19, 2015 | 3 | 02:31 | Neutral | Stephen Gionta |
| Dec 19, 2015 | 2 | 06:55 | Offensive | Stephen Gionta |