Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.0% vs 48.7%). Look for Begin on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horcoff 49.2% vs Begin 49.3% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horcoff 51.5%
Defensive zone
Horcoff 66.2%
Neutral zone
Begin 51.7%
Result
Shawn Horcoff favored at 52.3%
52.3%
47.7%
Horcoff
Begin
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Horcoff
Begin
Last 6: Horcoff 3-3 Begin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horcoff
2
0
Horcoff
Begin
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horcoff
1
0
Horcoff
Begin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Begin
0
3
Horcoff
Begin
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horcoff
Begin
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (318)
52.6% (95)
-5.7%
Power Play
64.9% (94)
100.0% (1)
-35.1%
Penalty Kill
39.8% (88)
28.6% (21)
+11.2%
On power play, Begin has a +35.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Begin shoots left. Horcoff is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (350).
Horcoff shoots left. Begin is 44.8% vs left-shot opponents (87).
Home / Away
Horcoff
Begin
Home
46.7% (289)
52.1% (48)
Away
52.1% (211)
46.4% (69)
By Period
Horcoff
Begin
P1
49.4%
52.9%
P2
47.0%
40.0%
P3
50.9%
55.3%
Final 5 min
48.1%
35.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horcoff
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.0%
Begin
56.0%▲
48.7%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Steve Begin |
| Apr 13, 2013 | 2 | 19:59 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Apr 3, 2013 | 3 | 18:57 | Neutral | Steve Begin |
| Apr 3, 2013 | 3 | 12:46 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Apr 3, 2013 | 2 | 13:47 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Apr 3, 2013 | 2 | 09:51 | Neutral | Steve Begin |