Scouting Report
Cory Emmerton holds a +11.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Emmerton on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Emmerton 52.2% vs Matthias 43.7% (+11.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Emmerton 64.2%
Defensive zone
Emmerton 60.7%
Neutral zone
Emmerton 69.2%
Result
Cory Emmerton favored at 67.2%
67.2%
32.8%
Emmerton
Matthias
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Emmerton
Matthias
Last 5: Emmerton 3-2 Matthias
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Emmerton
Matthias
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Emmerton
2
1
Emmerton
Matthias
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Emmerton
Matthias
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (96)
41.3% (358)
+11.8%
Penalty Kill
63.6% (11)
42.4% (59)
+21.2%
On penalty kill, Emmerton has a +21.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Matthias shoots left. Emmerton is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (61).
Emmerton shoots left. Matthias is 42.4% vs left-shot opponents (276).
Home / Away
Emmerton
Matthias
Home
50.0% (56)
48.5% (198)
Away
58.8% (51)
37.0% (235)
By Period
Emmerton
Matthias
P1
41.5%
41.9%
P2
61.0%
47.5%
P3
64.0%
37.5%
Final 5 min
53.8%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Emmerton
56.0%▲
50.0%
54.2%
Matthias
40.0%▼
41.5%
42.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2013 | 3 | 02:18 | Offensive | Cory Emmerton |
| Dec 7, 2013 | 2 | 02:59 | Neutral | Cory Emmerton |
| Dec 7, 2013 | 1 | 18:33 | Offensive | Shawn Matthias |
| Dec 7, 2013 | 1 | 15:19 | Neutral | Cory Emmerton |
| Dec 7, 2013 | 1 | 08:27 | Neutral | Shawn Matthias |