Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthias on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Matthias wins 46.7% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthias 45.4% vs Bozak 52.4% (-8.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bozak 69.7%
Defensive zone
Bozak 91.7%
Neutral zone
Bozak 90.1%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 79.9%
20.1%
79.9%
Matthias
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Matthias
Bozak
Last 6: Matthias 5-1 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthias
3
0
Matthias
Bozak
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthias
2
1
Matthias
Bozak
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthias
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
43.2% (310)
52.8% (697)
-9.6%
Power Play
57.1% (21)
50.9% (171)
+6.2%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (16)
53.3% (195)
-9.5%
On even strength, Bozak has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Matthias is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (122).
Matthias shoots left. Bozak is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (670).
Home / Away
Matthias
Bozak
Home
40.7% (172)
52.1% (530)
Away
47.4% (175)
53.1% (533)
By Period
Matthias
Bozak
P1
47.4%
54.1%
P2
46.0%
50.6%
P3
39.4%
53.4%
OT
0.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
39.0%
53.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthias
40.0%▼
41.5%
44.1%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2013 | 3 | 06:33 | Neutral | Shawn Matthias |
| Mar 26, 2013 | 3 | 02:37 | Offensive | Shawn Matthias |
| Mar 26, 2013 | 2 | 09:41 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 26, 2013 | 2 | 06:57 | Offensive | Shawn Matthias |
| Mar 26, 2013 | 2 | 03:11 | Offensive | Shawn Matthias |
| Mar 26, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Shawn Matthias |