Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Jenner wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 51.1% vs Crosby 55.4% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jenner 68.0%
Defensive zone
Jenner 82.8%
Neutral zone
Jenner 71.0%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 73.9%
73.9%
26.1%
Jenner
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Jenner
Crosby
Last 5: Jenner 1-4 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
2
Jenner
Crosby
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
2
Jenner
Crosby
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (265)
53.6% (1,008)
-2.3%
Power Play
54.2% (24)
65.0% (246)
-10.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (20)
60.0% (15)
-10.0%
On power play, Crosby has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Jenner is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (215).
Jenner shoots left. Crosby is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (896).
Home / Away
Jenner
Crosby
Home
52.7% (165)
56.9% (675)
Away
50.0% (144)
54.7% (594)
By Period
Jenner
Crosby
P1
49.0%
55.6%
P2
45.0%
53.3%
P3
59.5%
58.7%
Final 5 min
55.4%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
48.5%
51.5%
Crosby
62.0%▲
53.5%
55.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2026 | 3 | 04:49 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 1 | 12:56 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 1 | 12:49 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 1 | 06:43 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 1 | 03:45 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |