Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Jenner wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 51.1% vs Crosby 55.1% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jenner 54.5%
Defensive zone
Jenner 74.3%
Neutral zone
Jenner 59.7%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 62.4%
62.4%
37.6%
Jenner
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Jenner
Crosby
Last 5: Jenner 1-4 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
2
Jenner
Crosby
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
2
Jenner
Crosby
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (265)
53.3% (1,025)
-2.0%
Power Play
54.2% (24)
64.7% (249)
-10.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (20)
60.0% (15)
-10.0%
On power play, Crosby has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Jenner is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (215).
Jenner shoots left. Crosby is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (914).
Home / Away
Jenner
Crosby
Home
52.7% (165)
56.9% (675)
Away
50.0% (144)
54.1% (614)
By Period
Jenner
Crosby
P1
49.0%
55.1%
P2
45.0%
53.1%
P3
59.5%
58.5%
Final 5 min
55.4%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
48.5%
51.5%
Crosby
46.0%▼
54.0%
55.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2026 | 3 | 04:49 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 1 | 12:56 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 1 | 12:49 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 1 | 06:43 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 1 | 03:45 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |