Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Spezza wins 58.2% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 57.3% vs Crosby 55.1% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spezza 55.1%
Defensive zone
Spezza 70.3%
Neutral zone
Spezza 65.3%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 65.2%
65.2%
34.8%
Spezza
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Spezza
Crosby
Last 5: Spezza 5-0 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
1
0
Spezza
Crosby
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
2
0
Spezza
Crosby
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
2
0
Spezza
Crosby
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
58.0% (697)
54.7% (1,423)
+3.3%
Power Play
60.0% (105)
62.1% (327)
-2.1%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (5)
40.8% (76)
+19.2%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +19.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Spezza is 58.2% vs left-shot opponents (591).
Spezza shoots right. Crosby is 57.0% vs right-shot opponents (597).
Home / Away
Spezza
Crosby
Home
58.2% (376)
56.2% (907)
Away
58.2% (431)
54.6% (919)
By Period
Spezza
Crosby
P1
63.3%
55.7%
P2
54.9%
55.0%
P3
57.4%
54.9%
OT
33.3%
70.4%
Final 5 min
57.1%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
58.2%
Crosby
36.0%▼
52.5%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2018 | 2 | 14:24 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 21, 2018 | 2 | 09:56 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 21, 2018 | 1 | 16:16 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 21, 2018 | 1 | 09:50 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 21, 2018 | 1 | 07:01 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |