Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (85% H2H, 20 meetings). Veleno wins 46.1% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Veleno 47.2% vs Crosby 53.5% (-6.4%)
H2H factor
Veleno leads 27-25 in 52 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 79.5%
Defensive zone
Veleno 56.6%
Neutral zone
Crosby 59.8%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 60.2%
39.8%
60.2%
Veleno
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
27
-
25
(52 meetings)
27
25
Veleno
Crosby
Last 10: Veleno 5-5 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
3
17
Veleno
Crosby
20 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Veleno
17
6
Veleno
Crosby
23 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Veleno
7
2
Veleno
Crosby
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Veleno
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (2,317)
52.8% (18,031)
-5.5%
Power Play
51.0% (98)
57.4% (4,741)
-6.4%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (88)
47.0% (766)
-10.6%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Veleno is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,623).
Veleno shoots left. Crosby is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (14,886).
Home / Away
Veleno
Crosby
Home
45.3% (1,136)
55.0% (11,998)
Away
48.6% (1,367)
52.0% (11,559)
By Period
Veleno
Crosby
P1
47.9%
53.6%
P2
47.7%
53.8%
P3
45.9%
53.3%
OT
35.7%
49.6%
Final 5 min
48.7%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Veleno
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.1%
Crosby
46.0%▼
54.0%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2025 | 3 | 14:46 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 2 | 02:43 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 2 | 02:36 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 1 | 04:26 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 13:18 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 12:40 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 09:20 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 1 | 19:11 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 18:36 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 10:18 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 04:01 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 09:51 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 13, 2024 | 3 | 15:56 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 13, 2024 | 2 | 16:37 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 13, 2024 | 2 | 16:32 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 13, 2024 | 2 | 16:25 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Nov 13, 2024 | 2 | 08:42 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Nov 13, 2024 | 2 | 08:29 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 13, 2024 | 1 | 09:28 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 3 | 19:00 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |