Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +14.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Komarov wins 38.5% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Komarov 45.5% vs Crosby 53.3% (-14.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Komarov 55.6%
Defensive zone
Komarov 55.1%
Neutral zone
Komarov 55.0%
Result
Leo Komarov favored at 55.2%
55.2%
44.8%
Komarov
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Komarov
Crosby
Last 6: Komarov 2-4 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Komarov
2
0
Komarov
Crosby
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
3
Komarov
Crosby
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
1
Komarov
Crosby
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Komarov
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
43.3% (60)
54.3% (996)
-11.0%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (7)
39.2% (51)
-39.2%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +39.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Komarov is 38.5% vs left-shot opponents (26).
Komarov shoots left. Crosby is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (634).
Home / Away
Komarov
Crosby
Home
45.5% (33)
55.8% (615)
Away
32.4% (34)
51.5% (647)
By Period
Komarov
Crosby
P1
45.0%
58.7%
P2
37.0%
50.0%
P3
35.0%
51.7%
Final 5 min
35.3%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Komarov
46.0%▲
42.0%
38.8%
Crosby
36.0%▼
52.5%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2021 | 2 | 15:27 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 3 | 07:10 | Offensive | Leo Komarov |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 2 | 13:17 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 2 | 13:09 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 2 | 10:13 | Offensive | Leo Komarov |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 1 | 17:28 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |