Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on offensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 19 meetings). Spezza wins 55.0% vs left-shot opponents — Weiss shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 54.7% vs Weiss 53.0% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Spezza leads 32-26 in 58 meetings
Offensive zone
Spezza 66.5%
Defensive zone
Spezza 58.1%
Neutral zone
Spezza 64.0%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 63.2%
63.2%
36.8%
Spezza
Weiss
Head-to-Head Record
32
-
26
(58 meetings)
32
26
Spezza
Weiss
Last 10: Spezza 6-4 Weiss
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
12
7
Spezza
Weiss
19 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
9
7
Spezza
Weiss
16 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Weiss
11
12
Spezza
Weiss
23 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Weiss
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (7,990)
53.0% (2,521)
+1.4%
Power Play
56.8% (1,726)
54.6% (560)
+2.2%
Penalty Kill
52.7% (643)
49.4% (245)
+3.3%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +3.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Weiss shoots left. Spezza is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,310).
Spezza shoots right. Weiss is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (1,227).
Home / Away
Spezza
Weiss
Home
56.8% (5,066)
54.7% (1,745)
Away
52.7% (5,332)
51.3% (1,657)
By Period
Spezza
Weiss
P1
55.7%
53.5%
P2
54.4%
54.2%
P3
54.1%
52.2%
OT
51.5%
44.0%
Final 5 min
54.2%
52.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.7%
Weiss
46.0%▼
56.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2013 | 2 | 08:22 | Neutral | Stephen Weiss |
| Dec 1, 2013 | 2 | 04:59 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 23, 2013 | 3 | 14:31 | Offensive | Stephen Weiss |
| Oct 23, 2013 | 1 | 16:23 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 23, 2013 | 1 | 16:14 | Neutral | Stephen Weiss |
| Jan 21, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 21, 2013 | 2 | 15:42 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 21, 2013 | 2 | 00:09 | Defensive | Stephen Weiss |
| Jan 21, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 21, 2013 | 1 | 14:12 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 21, 2013 | 1 | 12:14 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 21, 2013 | 1 | 09:04 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 21, 2013 | 1 | 03:21 | Neutral | Stephen Weiss |
| Jan 21, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 4, 2012 | 3 | 13:05 | Offensive | Stephen Weiss |
| Feb 15, 2012 | 3 | 06:24 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 15, 2012 | 3 | 06:16 | Defensive | Stephen Weiss |
| Feb 15, 2012 | 2 | 03:53 | Defensive | Stephen Weiss |
| Feb 15, 2012 | 1 | 10:45 | Defensive | Stephen Weiss |
| Feb 15, 2012 | 1 | 04:32 | Offensive | Stephen Weiss |