Scouting Report
Steve Ott holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Ott on defensive-zone draws (82% H2H, 17 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horcoff 49.6% vs Ott 55.4% (-6.0%)
H2H factor
Ott leads 22-9 in 31 meetings
Offensive zone
Horcoff 81.9%
Defensive zone
Horcoff 89.5%
Neutral zone
Horcoff 79.8%
Result
Shawn Horcoff favored at 85.7%
85.7%
14.3%
Horcoff
Ott
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
22
(31 meetings)
9
22
Horcoff
Ott
Last 10: Horcoff 3-7 Ott
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horcoff
5
4
Horcoff
Ott
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ott
3
14
Horcoff
Ott
17 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ott
1
4
Horcoff
Ott
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horcoff
Ott
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (3,133)
57.2% (2,802)
-6.6%
Power Play
51.4% (555)
55.4% (567)
-4.0%
Penalty Kill
43.0% (567)
49.9% (853)
-6.9%
On penalty kill, Ott has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ott shoots left. Horcoff is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,000).
Horcoff shoots left. Ott is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,552).
Home / Away
Horcoff
Ott
Home
51.1% (2,199)
56.8% (2,130)
Away
48.0% (2,104)
54.2% (2,103)
By Period
Horcoff
Ott
P1
48.2%
56.7%
P2
49.5%
53.9%
P3
50.9%
55.7%
OT
51.9%
60.8%
Final 5 min
49.0%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horcoff
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.5%
Ott
60.0%▲
53.0%
55.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2014 | 3 | 04:34 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Mar 11, 2014 | 3 | 08:23 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Mar 11, 2014 | 3 | 08:20 | Neutral | Steve Ott |
| Mar 11, 2014 | 2 | 18:27 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Mar 11, 2014 | 2 | 06:48 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Mar 28, 2012 | 3 | 04:51 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Mar 28, 2012 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Steve Ott |
| Mar 28, 2012 | 1 | 17:31 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Mar 2, 2012 | 3 | 00:57 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 3 | 02:11 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Nov 21, 2011 | 3 | 16:41 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Nov 21, 2011 | 3 | 13:22 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Nov 21, 2011 | 2 | 17:28 | Neutral | Steve Ott |
| Nov 21, 2011 | 2 | 17:14 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Nov 21, 2011 | 1 | 18:55 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Feb 15, 2011 | 3 | 17:25 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Feb 15, 2011 | 2 | 17:33 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Feb 15, 2011 | 2 | 10:20 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Feb 15, 2011 | 1 | 03:56 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Jan 26, 2011 | 3 | 11:22 | Offensive | Steve Ott |