Scouting Report
Steve Ott holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Ott on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Ott wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ott 55.4% vs Nosek 53.6% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ott 62.9%
Defensive zone
Ott 63.3%
Neutral zone
Ott 61.7%
Result
Steve Ott favored at 62.2%
62.2%
37.8%
Ott
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Ott
Nosek
Last 5: Ott 4-1 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ott
1
0
Ott
Nosek
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ott
1
0
Ott
Nosek
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ott
2
1
Ott
Nosek
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ott
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
57.2% (2,802)
54.9% (2,710)
+2.3%
Power Play
55.4% (567)
45.8% (48)
+9.6%
Penalty Kill
49.9% (853)
47.2% (428)
+2.7%
On power play, Ott has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Ott is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,552).
Ott shoots left. Nosek is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,959).
Home / Away
Ott
Nosek
Home
56.8% (2,130)
52.8% (1,656)
Away
54.2% (2,103)
54.7% (1,530)
By Period
Ott
Nosek
P1
56.7%
52.2%
P2
53.9%
54.1%
P3
55.7%
54.7%
OT
60.8%
75.0%
Final 5 min
56.2%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ott
60.0%▲
53.0%
55.5%
Nosek
56.0%▲
50.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2017 | 2 | 05:26 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 2 | 01:53 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Mar 21, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Steve Ott |
| Mar 21, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 21, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Steve Ott |