Scouting Report
Steve Ott holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Ott on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Ott wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Lecavalier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ott 54.8% vs Lecavalier 53.9% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Ott leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Lecavalier 58.7%
Defensive zone
Ott 81.3%
Neutral zone
Ott 59.4%
Result
Steve Ott favored at 59.2%
59.2%
40.8%
Ott
Lecavalier
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
3
(11 meetings)
8
3
Ott
Lecavalier
Last 10: Ott 8-2 Lecavalier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ott
3
2
Ott
Lecavalier
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ott
4
0
Ott
Lecavalier
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Ott
Lecavalier
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ott
Lecavalier
Edge
Even Strength
54.8% (305)
53.4% (586)
+1.4%
Power Play
56.8% (95)
59.3% (145)
-2.5%
Penalty Kill
57.0% (135)
45.5% (11)
+11.5%
On penalty kill, Ott has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lecavalier shoots left. Ott is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (280).
Ott shoots left. Lecavalier is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (462).
Home / Away
Ott
Lecavalier
Home
58.7% (271)
55.6% (360)
Away
52.7% (264)
53.4% (382)
By Period
Ott
Lecavalier
P1
60.4%
55.2%
P2
54.0%
57.9%
P3
52.6%
50.4%
OT
65.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
57.0%
55.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ott
60.0%▲
53.0%
55.7%
Lecavalier
52.0%▲
46.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2013 | 3 | 18:37 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Apr 14, 2013 | 1 | 02:35 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Feb 26, 2013 | 3 | 18:06 | Neutral | Steve Ott |
| Feb 26, 2013 | 2 | 14:56 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Feb 26, 2013 | 2 | 14:51 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Feb 26, 2013 | 2 | 09:38 | Offensive | Vincent Lecavalier |
| Feb 26, 2013 | 2 | 07:07 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Feb 26, 2013 | 2 | 06:05 | Neutral | Vincent Lecavalier |
| Feb 26, 2013 | 1 | 13:56 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Feb 26, 2013 | 1 | 10:49 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Feb 26, 2013 | 1 | 10:38 | Offensive | Vincent Lecavalier |