Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.5% vs 56.0%). Ott wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Sobotka shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ott 55.4% vs Sobotka 55.8% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sobotka 53.9%
Defensive zone
Ott 59.0%
Neutral zone
Ott 50.8%
Result
Steve Ott favored at 50.4%
50.4%
49.6%
Ott
Sobotka
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Ott
Sobotka
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ott
2
0
Ott
Sobotka
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ott
1
0
Ott
Sobotka
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ott
Sobotka
Edge
Even Strength
57.2% (2,802)
56.9% (2,613)
+0.3%
Power Play
55.4% (567)
57.0% (223)
-1.6%
Penalty Kill
49.9% (853)
50.6% (447)
-0.7%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sobotka shoots left. Ott is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,552).
Ott shoots left. Sobotka is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (2,145).
Home / Away
Ott
Sobotka
Home
56.8% (2,130)
58.7% (1,601)
Away
54.2% (2,103)
53.5% (1,685)
By Period
Ott
Sobotka
P1
56.7%
56.2%
P2
53.9%
56.3%
P3
55.7%
55.3%
OT
60.8%
61.4%
Final 5 min
56.2%
57.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ott
60.0%▲
53.0%
55.5%
Sobotka
50.0%▼
52.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2013 | 3 | 06:18 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Oct 13, 2011 | 3 | 16:44 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Nov 27, 2010 | 2 | 02:48 | Defensive | Steve Ott |