Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundell 51.6% vs Stamkos 55.4% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lundell 74.6%
Defensive zone
Lundell 89.4%
Neutral zone
Lundell 77.6%
Result
Anton Lundell favored at 82.5%
82.5%
17.5%
Lundell
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Lundell
Stamkos
Last 6: Lundell 1-5 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
2
Lundell
Stamkos
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
1
2
Lundell
Stamkos
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
1
Lundell
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundell
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (786)
57.1% (368)
-4.4%
Power Play
52.6% (152)
55.2% (96)
-2.6%
Penalty Kill
47.3% (182)
50.0% (10)
-2.7%
On even strength, Stamkos has a +4.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Lundell is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (337).
Lundell shoots left. Stamkos is 58.6% vs left-shot opponents (353).
Home / Away
Lundell
Stamkos
Home
51.0% (574)
53.9% (230)
Away
52.6% (546)
59.0% (244)
By Period
Lundell
Stamkos
P1
52.9%
56.7%
P2
55.8%
54.1%
P3
47.1%
59.2%
OT
46.2%
62.5%
Final 5 min
50.8%
59.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundell
46.0%▼
49.0%
51.8%
Stamkos
66.0%▲
56.5%
56.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2025 | 3 | 10:26 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 1 | 10:09 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 1 | 10:01 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 1 | 03:46 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 3 | 08:33 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 2 | 18:03 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |