Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.4% vs 46.5%). Boyce wins 45.5% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyce 47.0% vs Stamkos 46.8% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Boyce 56.1%
Defensive zone
Boyce 63.1%
Neutral zone
Boyce 54.6%
Result
Darryl Boyce favored at 58.6%
58.6%
41.4%
Boyce
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Boyce
Stamkos
Last 5: Boyce 1-4 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Boyce
Stamkos
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
2
Boyce
Stamkos
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
1
Boyce
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyce
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (424)
46.0% (767)
+0.7%
Power Play
47.1% (17)
50.0% (126)
-2.9%
Penalty Kill
22.2% (9)
46.2% (26)
-24.0%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +24.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Boyce is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (167).
Boyce shoots left. Stamkos is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (594).
Home / Away
Boyce
Stamkos
Home
51.5% (239)
49.7% (441)
Away
40.8% (218)
43.6% (486)
By Period
Boyce
Stamkos
P1
47.7%
43.7%
P2
46.5%
50.2%
P3
44.8%
45.1%
OT
50.0%
46.4%
Final 5 min
52.0%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyce
50.0%▲
48.0%
46.4%
Stamkos
56.0%▬
56.0%
46.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2011 | 3 | 09:27 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 25, 2011 | 2 | 14:15 | Offensive | Darryl Boyce |
| Jan 25, 2011 | 2 | 01:38 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 25, 2011 | 1 | 01:02 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 25, 2011 | 1 | 00:50 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |