Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.8% vs 46.3%). Gauthier wins 44.1% vs right-shot opponents — Oshie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gauthier 47.7% vs Oshie 46.4% (+0.5%)
Offensive zone
Oshie 68.1%
Defensive zone
Oshie 69.7%
Neutral zone
Oshie 50.5%
Result
T.J. Oshie favored at 62.8%
37.2%
62.8%
Gauthier
Oshie
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gauthier
Oshie
Edge
Even Strength
43.2% (162)
45.2% (764)
-2.0%
Power Play
52.6% (97)
47.7% (1,221)
+4.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (4)
40.2% (164)
+9.8%
On penalty kill, Gauthier has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Oshie shoots right. Gauthier is 44.1% vs right-shot opponents (93).
Gauthier shoots left. Oshie is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,672).
Home / Away
Gauthier
Oshie
Home
53.3% (120)
48.7% (1,103)
Away
41.3% (143)
43.7% (1,047)
By Period
Gauthier
Oshie
P1
43.8%
47.3%
P2
48.8%
45.2%
P3
47.4%
46.7%
OT
57.1%
40.8%
Final 5 min
46.8%
47.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gauthier
48.0%▼
50.0%
46.8%
Oshie
32.0%▼
43.0%
46.3%