Scouting Report
Jack Eichel holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Eichel on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 48.2% vs Thompson 45.2% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eichel 69.0%
Defensive zone
Eichel 68.7%
Neutral zone
Eichel 61.1%
Result
Jack Eichel favored at 65.0%
65.0%
35.0%
Eichel
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Eichel
Thompson
Last 6: Eichel 4-2 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Eichel
Thompson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
1
0
Eichel
Thompson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eichel
2
1
Eichel
Thompson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (909)
44.6% (661)
+3.6%
Power Play
55.2% (67)
48.4% (95)
+6.8%
Penalty Kill
41.2% (97)
33.3% (33)
+7.9%
On penalty kill, Eichel has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Eichel is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (312).
Eichel shoots right. Thompson is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (222).
Home / Away
Eichel
Thompson
Home
48.0% (564)
45.7% (411)
Away
47.9% (509)
43.4% (378)
By Period
Eichel
Thompson
P1
49.8%
47.7%
P2
48.6%
45.7%
P3
46.7%
40.5%
OT
37.5%
42.9%
Final 5 min
54.1%
42.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.0%
Thompson
36.0%▼
40.0%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2026 | 3 | 03:21 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 3 | 03:08 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 17:38 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |