Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Jankowski on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Jankowski wins 54.7% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 53.1% vs Thompson 45.2% (+9.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jankowski 82.9%
Defensive zone
Jankowski 82.2%
Neutral zone
Jankowski 75.8%
Result
Mark Jankowski favored at 78.8%
78.8%
21.2%
Jankowski
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Jankowski
Thompson
Last 7: Jankowski 5-2 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Jankowski
Thompson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
1
0
Jankowski
Thompson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jankowski
3
1
Jankowski
Thompson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (555)
44.6% (661)
+9.1%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
48.4% (95)
+1.6%
Penalty Kill
54.3% (46)
33.3% (33)
+21.0%
On penalty kill, Jankowski has a +21.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Jankowski is 54.7% vs right-shot opponents (236).
Jankowski shoots left. Thompson is 41.8% vs left-shot opponents (567).
Home / Away
Jankowski
Thompson
Home
53.2% (331)
45.7% (411)
Away
54.2% (284)
43.4% (378)
By Period
Jankowski
Thompson
P1
52.7%
47.7%
P2
55.8%
45.7%
P3
52.5%
40.5%
Final 5 min
54.2%
42.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
52.0%▲
50.0%
53.7%
Thompson
36.0%▼
40.0%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2026 | 3 | 16:16 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 3 | 12:33 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 2 | 07:20 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 1 | 14:36 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 1 | 12:24 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |