Scouting Report
Phillip Danault holds a +10.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Danault on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Danault wins 55.6% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Danault 54.5% vs Thompson 45.2% (+10.4%)
H2H factor
Danault leads 10-4 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Danault 68.7%
Defensive zone
Danault 94.7%
Neutral zone
Danault 84.4%
Result
Phillip Danault favored at 81.7%
81.7%
18.3%
Danault
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
4
(14 meetings)
10
4
Danault
Thompson
Last 10: Danault 7-3 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
3
4
Danault
Thompson
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danault
7
0
Danault
Thompson
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Danault
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (745)
44.6% (661)
+11.6%
Power Play
45.1% (51)
48.4% (95)
-3.3%
Penalty Kill
51.6% (124)
33.3% (33)
+18.3%
On penalty kill, Danault has a +18.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Danault is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (302).
Danault shoots left. Thompson is 41.8% vs left-shot opponents (567).
Home / Away
Danault
Thompson
Home
56.7% (402)
45.7% (411)
Away
53.7% (518)
43.4% (378)
By Period
Danault
Thompson
P1
55.5%
47.7%
P2
54.2%
45.7%
P3
55.2%
40.5%
OT
55.6%
42.9%
Final 5 min
56.4%
42.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Danault
50.0%▼
54.5%
55.0%
Thompson
36.0%▼
40.0%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | 3 | 19:22 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 3 | 16:24 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 3 | 08:01 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 16:58 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 00:58 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 1 | 15:59 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 1 | 02:21 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 2 | 14:47 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 1 | 10:51 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 1 | 07:20 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 1 | 01:13 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 17:53 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 09:14 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 2 | 06:22 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |