Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.8% vs 46.6%). Bedard wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Blueger shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bedard 46.5% vs Blueger 47.4% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bedard 61.8%
Defensive zone
Blueger 64.4%
Neutral zone
Blueger 59.6%
Result
Teddy Blueger favored at 52.5%
47.5%
52.5%
Bedard
Blueger
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Bedard
Blueger
Last 6: Bedard 4-2 Blueger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bedard
2
0
Bedard
Blueger
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Bedard
Blueger
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bedard
Blueger
Edge
Even Strength
44.2% (505)
48.2% (253)
-4.0%
Power Play
66.7% (36)
66.7% (9)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
53.8% (13)
34.7% (49)
+19.1%
On penalty kill, Bedard has a +19.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Blueger shoots left. Bedard is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (390).
Bedard shoots right. Blueger is 47.1% vs right-shot opponents (102).
Home / Away
Bedard
Blueger
Home
50.7% (223)
49.8% (215)
Away
42.6% (331)
39.6% (96)
By Period
Bedard
Blueger
P1
40.2%
45.8%
P2
49.2%
50.4%
P3
47.2%
42.2%
OT
57.1%
100.0%
Final 5 min
45.2%
45.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bedard
44.0%▬
45.0%
45.8%
Blueger
46.0%▬
47.0%
46.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 1 | 02:08 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |
| Oct 17, 2025 | 3 | 00:20 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |
| Oct 17, 2025 | 1 | 01:23 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |