Scouting Report
Tim Brent holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). O'Reilly wins 46.2% vs right-shot opponents — Brent shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 47.1% vs Brent 51.8% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 54.7%
Defensive zone
Brent 89.8%
Neutral zone
Brent 76.1%
Result
Tim Brent favored at 63.0%
37.0%
63.0%
O'Reilly
Brent
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
O'Reilly
Brent
Last 6: O'Reilly 4-2 Brent
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
3
0
O'Reilly
Brent
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brent
0
1
O'Reilly
Brent
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
O'Reilly
Brent
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Brent
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (403)
52.8% (563)
-6.6%
Power Play
48.1% (79)
54.5% (22)
-6.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (8)
51.0% (198)
-1.0%
On even strength, Brent has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brent shoots right. O'Reilly is 46.2% vs right-shot opponents (156).
O'Reilly shoots left. Brent is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (506).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Brent
Home
48.1% (243)
50.5% (384)
Away
44.9% (254)
53.5% (404)
By Period
O'Reilly
Brent
P1
43.2%
54.9%
P2
45.6%
52.5%
P3
50.9%
48.7%
OT
42.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.0%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
52.0%▲
50.5%
46.5%
Brent
62.0%▲
51.5%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2010 | 3 | 19:07 | Offensive | Cal O'Reilly |
| Nov 16, 2010 | 3 | 18:57 | Offensive | Cal O'Reilly |
| Nov 16, 2010 | 3 | 11:48 | Offensive | Cal O'Reilly |
| Nov 16, 2010 | 3 | 04:31 | Defensive | Tim Brent |
| Nov 16, 2010 | 1 | 11:53 | Neutral | Tim Brent |
| Nov 16, 2010 | 1 | 11:43 | Neutral | Cal O'Reilly |