Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.4% vs 48.7%). Look for Jeffrey on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jeffrey 48.9% vs Connolly 48.9% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jeffrey 53.4%
Defensive zone
Jeffrey 61.9%
Neutral zone
Jeffrey 62.3%
Result
Dustin Jeffrey favored at 59.5%
59.5%
40.5%
Jeffrey
Connolly
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Jeffrey
Connolly
Last 7: Jeffrey 6-1 Connolly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jeffrey
2
0
Jeffrey
Connolly
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jeffrey
3
1
Jeffrey
Connolly
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jeffrey
1
0
Jeffrey
Connolly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jeffrey
Connolly
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (197)
47.8% (605)
-1.6%
Power Play
50.0% (6)
51.2% (86)
-1.2%
Penalty Kill
64.7% (17)
55.1% (89)
+9.6%
On penalty kill, Jeffrey has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Connolly shoots right. Jeffrey is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (69).
Jeffrey shoots left. Connolly is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (548).
Home / Away
Jeffrey
Connolly
Home
49.4% (89)
51.1% (358)
Away
47.8% (136)
46.7% (428)
By Period
Jeffrey
Connolly
P1
47.8%
48.7%
P2
48.7%
48.1%
P3
48.7%
50.4%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
48.2%
41.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jeffrey
60.0%▲
54.5%
48.4%
Connolly
50.0%▬
51.0%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2012 | 2 | 16:50 | Offensive | Dustin Jeffrey |
| Feb 1, 2012 | 2 | 16:41 | Offensive | Dustin Jeffrey |
| Feb 1, 2012 | 2 | 12:55 | Defensive | Dustin Jeffrey |
| Jan 31, 2012 | 3 | 07:51 | Neutral | Dustin Jeffrey |
| Jan 31, 2012 | 3 | 00:24 | Defensive | Dustin Jeffrey |
| Jan 31, 2012 | 3 | 00:07 | Defensive | Tim Connolly |
| Jan 31, 2012 | 2 | 15:25 | Defensive | Dustin Jeffrey |