Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.5% vs 47.2%). Beniers wins 44.1% vs right-shot opponents — Connolly shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beniers 46.6% vs Connolly 47.3% (-0.7%)
Offensive zone
Connolly 51.4%
Defensive zone
Beniers 50.9%
Neutral zone
Beniers 50.2%
Result
Tim Connolly favored at 50.1%
49.9%
50.1%
Beniers
Connolly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beniers
Connolly
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (3,825)
47.4% (1,307)
-0.9%
Power Play
47.8% (360)
50.2% (251)
-2.4%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (111)
41.9% (186)
-0.5%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Connolly shoots right. Beniers is 44.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,457).
Beniers shoots left. Connolly is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,179).
Home / Away
Beniers
Connolly
Home
48.9% (2,195)
48.5% (870)
Away
44.0% (2,101)
45.9% (885)
By Period
Beniers
Connolly
P1
47.2%
47.4%
P2
47.0%
47.7%
P3
45.7%
47.0%
OT
34.8%
37.8%
Final 5 min
46.1%
42.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beniers
32.0%▼
47.0%
46.5%
Connolly
50.0%▬
51.0%
47.2%