Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.3% vs 53.0%). Look for Stützle on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). McCarron wins 53.8% vs left-shot opponents — Stützle shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCarron 52.1% vs Stützle 52.6% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stützle 80.5%
Defensive zone
McCarron 87.8%
Neutral zone
McCarron 52.8%
Result
Tim Stützle favored at 63.6%
36.4%
63.6%
McCarron
Stützle
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
McCarron
Stützle
Last 6: McCarron 1-5 Stützle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stützle
0
4
McCarron
Stützle
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
1
0
McCarron
Stützle
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stützle
0
1
McCarron
Stützle
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCarron
Stützle
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (697)
52.7% (501)
+0.1%
Power Play
18.2% (11)
54.2% (59)
-36.0%
Penalty Kill
52.6% (211)
56.3% (32)
-3.7%
On power play, Stützle has a +36.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stützle shoots left. McCarron is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (645).
McCarron shoots right. Stützle is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (228).
Home / Away
McCarron
Stützle
Home
52.8% (477)
51.9% (285)
Away
51.8% (442)
54.1% (307)
By Period
McCarron
Stützle
P1
56.2%
51.6%
P2
52.4%
55.4%
P3
48.7%
52.2%
OT
0.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
50.9%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCarron
38.0%▼
49.0%
52.3%
Stützle
50.0%▬
49.5%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2026 | 3 | 14:15 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 2 | 18:34 | Neutral | Tim Stützle |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 17:52 | Offensive | Tim Stützle |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 04:36 | Offensive | Tim Stützle |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 01:04 | Offensive | Tim Stützle |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 1 | 05:24 | Offensive | Tim Stützle |