Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.0% vs 53.6%). Look for Stützle on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stützle 52.6% vs Seguin 52.5% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stützle 69.2%
Defensive zone
Seguin 71.2%
Neutral zone
Stützle 56.8%
Result
Tim Stützle favored at 51.2%
51.2%
48.8%
Stützle
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Stützle
Seguin
Last 5: Stützle 3-2 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Stützle
Seguin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stützle
3
1
Stützle
Seguin
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stützle
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (501)
53.2% (201)
-0.5%
Power Play
54.2% (59)
60.0% (25)
-5.8%
Penalty Kill
56.3% (32)
44.4% (9)
+11.9%
On penalty kill, Stützle has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Stützle is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (228).
Stützle shoots left. Seguin is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (187).
Home / Away
Stützle
Seguin
Home
51.9% (285)
56.3% (126)
Away
54.1% (307)
50.5% (109)
By Period
Stützle
Seguin
P1
51.6%
44.3%
P2
55.4%
52.1%
P3
52.2%
62.5%
OT
66.7%
80.0%
Final 5 min
50.8%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stützle
50.0%▬
49.5%
53.0%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2025 | 3 | 19:14 | Neutral | Tim Stützle |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 3 | 13:07 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 3 | 01:13 | Neutral | Tim Stützle |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 1 | 17:56 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tim Stützle |